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Key research papers on childhood obesity

Prevalence, causes, tracking into adulthood and prevention trials: the most-cited childhood obesity research, recent reviews and search strings.

Data from OpenAlex, retrieved September 21, 2026

In short

In OpenAlex, titles on childhood obesity grew fast from about 2000 and were most numerous in 2015. Ebbeling, Pawlak and Ludwig (2002) and Lobstein, Baur and Uauy (2004) framed it as a public health crisis. Ludwig, Peterson and Gortmaker (2001) on sugar-sweetened drinks is the most-cited single risk-factor study on this page. Simmonds et al. (2016) quantify how strongly childhood obesity predicts adult obesity, and the Cochrane review by Brown et al. (2019) synthesised prevention trials; Cochrane has since replaced it with separate reviews by age group (2024 and 2025).

How the literature is organised

Two Lancet papers and a long report are among the most-cited early works. Ebbeling, Pawlak and Ludwig (2002) called childhood obesity a public health crisis with a "common sense cure". Lobstein, Baur and Uauy (2004) wrote a supplement-length report for the International Obesity TaskForce in Obesity Reviews. Ludwig, Peterson and Gortmaker (2001) had already reported a prospective association between sugar-sweetened drinks and obesity in schoolchildren.

Later work follows four lines. Epidemiology tracks prevalence, with Ng et al. (2014) providing global estimates from 1980 to 2013. Aetiology covers behaviour, such as sleep (Cappuccio et al., 2008), and genetics, such as the FTO variant (Dina et al., 2007). Consequences are documented in long cohort studies, including Franks et al. (2010) on premature death. Prevention trials are synthesised in successive Cochrane reviews (Brown et al., 2019, was the fourth version of its review).

Main debates

One debate is about explanation. Haqq et al. (2021) argue that weight stigma rests on a misunderstanding of the origins of obesity, in which behavioural, environmental, genetic and metabolic factors interact, and on the misconception that it results solely from personal choices. The listed papers span that range, from a single dietary exposure (Ludwig, Peterson and Gortmaker, 2001) to a genetic variant (Dina et al., 2007). A second is about targeting. Simmonds et al. (2016) found that obese children are likely to become obese adults but that 70% of obese adults had not been obese in childhood or adolescence, so programmes aimed only at children who are already obese may not reduce the adult burden much. A third is about how well prevention works, where the pooled effects in Brown et al. (2019) were small and differed by age group.

Where recent work is heading

Jebeile et al. (2022) give a current overview of epidemiology, causes, assessment and management. The pandemic produced studies of weight gain during lockdowns (Stavridou et al., 2021; Vážná et al., 2022, on Czech children). Reviews now cover e-health interventions (Azevedo et al., 2022), prenatal exposure to persistent organic pollutants (Stratakis et al., 2022) and adverse childhood experiences (Schroeder et al., 2021). Mendelian randomisation studies, such as Cao et al. (2022) on osteoarthritis, test whether associations with later disease are causal.

Most-cited foundational papers

Published before 2021 and ranked by how often later work cites them. Read the abstract of each and the full text of the three or four closest to your question. Citation count measures attention, not quality, so treat this as a map of what the field has argued about rather than a ranking of what is true.

  1. 1
    Global, regional, and national prevalence of overweight and obesity in children and adults during 1980–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013

    Marie Ng and 139 others (2014). The Lancet.

    Cited by 12,146Open accessdoi:10.1016/s0140-6736(14)60460-8

  2. 2
    Obesity in children and young people: a crisis in public health

    T. Lobstein, L. Baur, R. Uauy (2004). Obesity Reviews.

    Cited by 3,833doi:10.1111/j.1467-789x.2004.00133.x

  3. 3
    Interventions for preventing obesity in children

    Tamara Brown and 11 others (2019). Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews.

    Cited by 3,031Open accessdoi:10.1002/14651858.cd001871.pub4

    Cochrane has replaced this review with separate reviews by age group (editorial note on the PubMed record, PMID 31332776, checked 2026-09-21). For current evidence see: Interventions to prevent obesity in children aged 2 to 4 years old (2025); Interventions to prevent obesity in children aged 5 to 11 years old (2024); Interventions to prevent obesity in children aged 12 to 18 years old (2024).

  4. 4
    Childhood obesity: public-health crisis, common sense cure

    Cara B Ebbeling, Dorota B Pawlak, David S Ludwig (2002). The Lancet.

    Cited by 3,006doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(02)09678-2

  5. 5
    Relation between consumption of sugar-sweetened drinks and childhood obesity: a prospective, observational analysis

    David S Ludwig, Karen E Peterson, Steven L Gortmaker (2001). The Lancet.

    Cited by 2,410doi:10.1016/s0140-6736(00)04041-1

  6. 6
    Predicting adult obesity from childhood obesity: a systematic review and meta‐analysis

    M. Simmonds and 3 others (2016). Obesity Reviews.

    Cited by 2,168Open accessdoi:10.1111/obr.12334

  7. 7
    Meta-Analysis of Short Sleep Duration and Obesity in Children and Adults

    Francesco P. Cappuccio and 6 others (2008). Sleep.

    Cited by 2,079Open accessdoi:10.1093/sleep/31.5.619

  8. 8
    Variation in FTO contributes to childhood obesity and severe adult obesity

    Christian Dina and 26 others (2007). Nature Genetics.

    Cited by 1,638doi:10.1038/ng2048

  9. 9
    Childhood Obesity, Other Cardiovascular Risk Factors, and Premature Death

    Paul W. Franks and 5 others (2010). New England Journal of Medicine.

    Cited by 1,374Open accessdoi:10.1056/nejmoa0904130

  10. 10
    Relationship of Childhood Obesity to Coronary Heart Disease Risk Factors in Adulthood: The Bogalusa Heart Study

    David S. Freedman and 4 others (2001). Pediatrics.

    Cited by 1,374doi:10.1542/peds.108.3.712

Most-cited papers since 2021

Primary studies and conceptual papers from 2021 onwards. A paper published in 2024 has had a few years to accumulate citations where the works in the section above have had decades, so compare these counts with each other rather than with the ones above.

  1. 1
    Obesity in children and adolescents: epidemiology, causes, assessment, and management

    Hiba Jebeile and 3 others (2022). The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology.

    Cited by 984Open accessdoi:10.1016/s2213-8587(22)00047-x

  2. 2
    Global Prevalence of Overweight and Obesity in Children and Adolescents: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

    Xinyue Zhang and 13 others (2024). JAMA Pediatrics.

    Cited by 518Open accessdoi:10.1001/jamapediatrics.2024.1576

  3. 3
    National-level and state-level prevalence of overweight and obesity among children, adolescents, and adults in the USA, 1990–2021, and forecasts up to 2050

    Marie Ng and 336 others (2024). The Lancet.

    Cited by 329Open accessdoi:10.1016/s0140-6736(24)01548-4

  4. 4
    Obesity in Children and Adolescents during COVID-19 Pandemic

    Androniki Stavridou and 9 others (2021). Children.

    Cited by 325Open accessdoi:10.3390/children8020135

  5. 5
    Pediatric obesity—Long‐term consequences and effect of weight loss

    Claude Marcus, Pernilla Danielsson, Emilia Hagman (2022). Journal of Internal Medicine.

    Cited by 261Open accessdoi:10.1111/joim.13547

  6. 6
    Complexity and Stigma of Pediatric Obesity

    Andrea M. Haqq and 4 others (2021). Childhood Obesity.

    Cited by 192Open accessdoi:10.1089/chi.2021.0003

  7. 7
    A causal relationship between childhood obesity and risk of osteoarthritis: results from a two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis

    Ziqin Cao and 4 others (2022). Annals of Medicine.

    Cited by 188Open accessdoi:10.1080/07853890.2022.2085883

  8. 8
    Influence of COVID-19-Related Restrictions on the Prevalence of Overweight and Obese Czech Children

    Anna Vážná and 6 others (2022). International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health.

    Cited by 149Open accessdoi:10.3390/ijerph191911902

Recent reviews and meta-analyses

The fastest way into a literature. A good review gives you the structure of the field, a reference list to mine and, in its limitations section, the gaps other researchers have already spotted.

  1. 1
    Adolescent and Childhood Obesity and Excess Morbidity and Mortality in Young Adulthood—a Systematic Review

    Adi Horesh and 3 others (2021). Current Obesity Reports.

    Cited by 244doi:10.1007/s13679-021-00439-9

  2. 2
    The association between adverse childhood experiences and childhood obesity: A systematic review

    Krista Schroeder and 3 others (2021). Obesity Reviews.

    Cited by 181Open accessdoi:10.1111/obr.13204

  3. 3
    Association between Food, Beverages and Overweight/Obesity in Children and Adolescents—A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Observational Studies

    Dorthe Dalstrup Jakobsen, Lea Brader, Jens Meldgaard Bruun (2023). Nutrients.

    Cited by 106Open accessdoi:10.3390/nu15030764

  4. 4
    The effectiveness of e‐health interventions for the treatment of overweight or obesity in children and adolescents: A systematic review and meta‐analysis

    Liane B. Azevedo and 13 others (2022). Obesity Reviews.

    Cited by 97Open accessdoi:10.1111/obr.13373

  5. 5
    Prenatal exposure to persistent organic pollutants and childhood obesity: A systematic review and meta‐analysis of human studies

    Nikos Stratakis and 10 others (2022). Obesity Reviews.

    Cited by 96Open accessdoi:10.1111/obr.13383

  6. 6
    Dietary Interventions to Prevent Childhood Obesity: A Literature Review

    Ana Rita Pereira, Andreia Oliveira (2021). Nutrients.

    Cited by 96Open accessdoi:10.3390/nu13103447

How big the literature is, and where it is published

OpenAlex indexes 17,419 works whose title matches this topic. The chart shows how many were published each year from 2000 to 2025; the current year is left out because it is incomplete.

2000: 74 works7420002001: 97 works2002: 124 works2003: 149 works2004: 282 works2005: 305 works2006: 342 works2007: 401 works2008: 514 works2009: 502 works2010: 749 works2011: 704 works2012: 781 works2013: 852 works2014: 797 works2015: 1,008 works1,00820152016: 930 works2017: 868 works2018: 836 works2019: 844 works2020: 886 works2021: 750 works2022: 669 works2023: 672 works2024: 783 works2025: 938 works9382025
Show the numbers as a table
YearWorks
200074
200197
2002124
2003149
2004282
2005305
2006342
2007401
2008514
2009502
2010749
2011704
2012781
2013852
2014797
20151,008
2016930
2017868
2018836
2019844
2020886
2021750
2022669
2023672
2024783
2025938

Journals behind the most-cited work

Counted across the 368 most-cited works on the topic, not across everything published. Browsing recent issues of the first two or three is a reliable way to find current work that has not yet been cited much.

Sub-topics to narrow into

A thesis-sized question usually sits inside one of these, combined with a population or a setting.

How to cite these papers

Every paper above has a DOI, a part of the reference that is easy to leave out. Here is one of them, “Childhood obesity: public-health crisis, common sense cure” (2002), in the two styles students ask about most:

APA 7th edition

Ebbeling, C. B., Pawlak, D. B., & Ludwig, D. S. (2002). Childhood obesity: Public-health crisis, common sense cure. The Lancet, 360(9331), 473–482. https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(02)09678-2

MLA 9th edition

Ebbeling, Cara B., et al. “Childhood Obesity: Public-Health Crisis, Common Sense Cure.” The Lancet, vol. 360, no. 9331, 2002, pp. 473–82, https://doi.org/10.1016/s0140-6736(02)09678-2.

Check the details against the article itself before you submit: databases, including the one behind this page, sometimes carry the online-first year rather than the volume year. Full rules and more examples are in our guides to APA, MLA, Chicago, Harvard, Vancouver and ABNT, with the rest in the citation guides. You can also format a reference from its DOI with our free citation tools.

Frequently asked questions

Do obese children become obese adults?

Often, but not always. Simmonds et al. (2016) meta-analysed cohort studies and found that obese children and adolescents were around five times more likely to be obese in adulthood than those who were not obese. They also found that 70% of obese adults had not been obese in childhood or adolescence, which matters for how prevention is targeted.

Do prevention programmes work?

The Cochrane review by Brown et al. (2019) concluded that interventions combining diet and physical activity can reduce the risk of obesity in children aged 0 to 5, and that interventions focused on physical activity alone can do so in children aged 6 to 12 and adolescents aged 13 to 18. The pooled differences in BMI measures were small and much of the evidence was rated low certainty. Cochrane now points readers of that review to newer ones for ages 2 to 4, 5 to 11 and 12 to 18 (DOIs 10.1002/14651858.CD015326.pub2, CD015328.pub2 and CD015330.pub2); use those for current evidence.

Why did publication on childhood obesity peak in 2015?

OpenAlex counts about 1,000 works with the term in the title for 2015 and fewer in every year since. We cannot tell from title counts why. Titles vary: several papers on this page say obesity in children and adolescents, or pediatric obesity, instead of childhood obesity, so widen your search terms accordingly.

How this page was made

The lists come from OpenAlex, an open index of scholarly works whose data are published under a CC0 licence, queried on September 21, 2026 for works whose title matches ("childhood obesity" OR "pediatric obesity" OR "obesity in children"). Only works with a DOI are listed. Each one was checked against the publisher’s own record at Crossref or DataCite (title, year, first author, journal, volume and pages), and in three cases, where the publisher deposited no byline, against PubMed; anything OpenAlex or Crossref flags as retracted was left out, and an editor took out results that matched the words but not the subject. Citation counts are OpenAlex’s on that date and are usually lower than Google Scholar’s, which counts more kinds of document. Ranking by citations tells you what a field has relied on, not what is correct; several heavily cited papers on any topic are cited because later work disputes them. Books without a DOI are missing, which matters in fields where the founding text is a book.

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